Single Exponential Smoothing

Predicted Values - Forecast

  

The forecasts using the single exponential smoothing procedure are the fitted values at the forecast origin. Data up to the origin are used for calculating the fitted values.

Example Output

Period  Forecast    Lower    Upper

61       55.9663  44.9292  67.0035

62       55.9663  44.9292  67.0035

63       55.9663  44.9292  67.0035

64       55.9663  44.9292  67.0035

65       55.9663  44.9292  67.0035

66       55.9663  44.9292  67.0035

Interpretation

For the employment data, the forecasts (the predicted percentages of employment in a segment of the food industry) for the next 6 months are all equal to 55.9663.

 

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